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Re: AR design Tue, 15 August 2006 13:29 Go to previous messageGo to previous message
Tomasoid is currently offline Tomasoid

 
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Registered: December 2005
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Kotk wrote on Tue, 15 August 2006 18:59

I am no math teacher, but okay i try... Laughing
Simple example situation: you have 32 planets. 20 are 60% planets and 12 are 100% planets, all planets are fully terraformed and 1 500 000 full, max energy. Now the QUESTIONZ:

How many all 60% planets grow per year together?
How many all 100% planets generate resources per turn?
If you fill all 100% planets up how many they generate resources?
How many LF of pop you need to fill up all 100% planets?

How many all 100% planets grow per year?
How many all 60% planets generate resources?
If you fill all 60% planets up how many they generate resources?
How many LF of pop you need to fill up all 60% planets?

So what strategy you suggest for faster ramp-up and why? Cool



Well, tried to calculate and here is what I got:

Assume we have En22, /10 divisor and 15% growth rate. Assume also that we have 15 100% planets and 25 60% (for simpler math). Assume we move all pop in 2 years (average).

100% planet generates 1816 resources.
60% generates 1089.
At 3M of pop:
100% planet generates 2569 resources.
60% generates 1541.
So, if we fill in one 100% planet instead of one 60% to 3M of people, we get (2569 - 1816) - (1541 - 1089) = 301 resource more. It looks like packing of 100% planets first is better.

Now, 100% planet at 1.5M grows with rate 100,000 pop. 15 planets give 1,500,000 of pop. Other 60% planets also grow with rate 60,000, that gives additional 1,500,000 of pop. This allows fill in 2 planets at the first year.

Now, strategies to compare:
1. 100% first strategy.
First 3 years we just grow and pick up pop.
- year 3: we pack 2 100% planets, so we get more resources there, but no growth. Now we have 1,300,000 each year off from 100% planets. 6M of pop in flight.
- year 4: 4 planets packed, 100% planets give 1,100,000 each year 5.8M of pop in flight.
- year 5: 6 planets packed, 5.4M in flight, 100% grow by 900,000
- year 6: 7 packed + one almost packed (ignoring here), 5M in flight, 100% planets grow by 700,000
- year 7: 9 packed + 900k for one (ignoring here), 4.6M in flight, grow by 500,000
- year 8: 11 packed + 300k for one (NOT ignoring here - assuming 100k more). Grow by 400,000
- year 9: 12 packed + 1M added to one (ignoring here). 100% Grow by 200k.
- year 10: 14 packed exactly. 100% grow by 100k.
- year 11: all 15 100% planets are packed + 400k leftover.

- year 12: 16 (1 60%) packed + 600k leftover
- year 13: 17 (1 60%) packed + 700k leftover

2. 60% first strategy.
First 3 years we just grow and pick up pop.
- year 3: we pack 2 60% planets, so we get more resources there, but no growth. Now we have 1,380,000 each year off from 60% planets. 6M of pop in flight.
- year 4: 4 planets packed, 60% planets give 1,260,000 each year 5.88M of pop in flight.
- year 5: 6 planets packed, 5.64M in flight, 60% grow by 1,140,000
- year 6: 7 packed + one almost packed - +1.38M (ignoring here), 5.4M in flight, 60% planets grow by 1,020,000
- year 7: 9 packed + 1.14M for one (ignoring here), 5.16M in flight, grow by 900,000
- year 8: 11 packed + 780k for one (NOT ignoring here - assuming 20k more). Grow by 800,000. 4.92M in flight
- year 9: 13 packed + 300k added to one (NOT ignoring here). 60% grow by 720k. 4.7M in flight
- year 10: 14 packed + 1.2M added to one (ignoring here). 60% grow by 600k.
- year 11: 16 60% planets packed + 500k leftover.

- year 12: 17 packed + 1.22M leftover
- year 13: 19 packed + 320k leftover

At this moment, we can compare.

Packed 100% planets give 11295 additional resources. With strategy 2, 17 packed 60% planets give 7684 additional resources (extracted 2 60% packed from strategy 1).

Let's continue our packing some more and see what if with strategy 2 we move all pop from 60% planets to 100% planets in 2 turns and pack 100% by that. We get the same as with strategy 1, but 2 years later. More, we get 2 more planets packed than with strategy 1, that gives more final resources - you got more people in the end. It is 904 resources.

If strategy 2 continues some more to pack 60% even more using full growth of 100% planets before return pop to 100%, it may improve.

Anyway, it takes 20 years or so to pay off initial resource loses compare to strategy 1. Loses here: 14k because you move pop from 60% to 100% (though pop grows even more during that Wink ), and resources you could accumulate in research from 100% planets that were not accumulated because 60% planets filled instead of 100%. These are 301*2 + 301*4 + ... etc for all years we are packing.

CONCLUSION: packing 100% first is better if you are critical in techs research for next 30 years. Otherwise, if you can wait, after 30 years or so, you will end up in more total resources invested into reasearch/building than with strategy 1, as well as in 15 years you get better resources output than withs trategy 1.

30 years is a lot Shocked (It is turn 80-90!) So the right path would be filling in 100% planets first, unless you have allies that you trust or unless it is a team game Wink



WBR, Vlad

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