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| Grand Strategy |
Sat, 24 March 2007 10:56  |
|
 Skaffen |
 | Senior Chief Petty Officer |
Messages: 90
Registered: December 2006
Location: Germany | |
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OK,
based on the latest map (thanks!) I want to discuss a couple of things. Iīve drawn some very rough borderish things and marked regions of interest for easier reference.
1: Gaim - Mars border, site of current serious skirmishing and home to two major shadow colonies soon
2: Minbari space
3: Drakh - Earth border, contested area
4: Spoo - Centauri border, latest Spoo push stopped before it really began
5: Narn space, Pak southern border. I have no feel for the dynamics in this area and canīt comment much on it.
6: big fat middle ground
Overall I see 3-4 regions of conflict where serious shooting will probably start in 2462: 1, 2, 3, 4. Needless to say, I donīt think we can afford to fight on 4 fronts while being behind in tech... 
Letīs start with the easy one: 2. Once the shooting starts and the gloves are off, I think the Minbari will be toast. Theyīre too far away for us to help them, the only way we could do anything would be to recruit them now, give them oberservers and feed them tech so that the shadow alliance will at least have a bit of a fight on their hands. Iīd say we do it, Iīve been in contact and if you guys agree Iīll approach them again and offer to join. I hope you can provide another round of observer ships at our W/L-sites
3: As far as I see it thereīs not much we can do to get a peace agreement here. Earth wants to go after the Drakh Iīm sure and I donīt think we could dissuade them (Iīll try a last recruitment approach though).
As long as 1 develops into a shooting war, Gaim canīt provide a lot of help beyond speed trap minelayers and the energy tech Iīll soon be researching.
Llort are on pretty good terms with Earth, they have to decide how far they are willing to go in providing help to the Drakh, no use ignoring this issue. But we have to consider that unless we recruit Earth, they will ultimately be enemy and the friendship canīt go on forever.
1 and 4 are connected in the way we should approach them. Iīm pretty sure I could hold my own against the Martians but if they want to keep attacking and get active shadow aid in 2462 Iīm in trouble and will need more than just tech support from the Llort. I guess the same will hold true for the Spoo against the Centauri.
My suggestion would be to approach the Shadows and their allies and offer them some form of NAP, defined borders more or less along the blue lines and an agreement to let them expand through the middle region 6 in return for not bothering us for X years. I think our original assessment that the Shadows have the weaker alliance still stands, unfortunately the Spoo comment on their approach to things with growing through weaker younger races also still seems to stand unless we can make them a good offer.
As a tactical advantage against the Vorlons we can maybe offer them passage rights through corridors of our space for flaking manouvers (maybe by setting up a gate world for them?) Iīd approach them since they know me as independant anyway if you agree to the proposal.
Narns will probably end up in the alliance anyway so Spoo have to decide how far they want to push the skirmishing. As I said, canīt say much about the dynamics in the SE and how relations are there, that I leave for someone else.
As for region 6: I suggest we stay out of it. Borders with the elders and their allies only work if they have what looks like an attractive way of expansion and route to the enemy. Setting up shop there in a serious way might not be worth the effort because itīll block the way if we put up minefields and draw us into a shooting war we can ill-afford at the moment.
We donīt really need the settlements there (well, of course there are some juicy greens there, problem is that theyīre juicy for everyone...  ), we can trade tech efficiently without "The Linkup" and if we make economic use of the planets in our area (which we are already doing) I think we can leave them the area as a fighting ground.
Once we are strong enough for a pushback, we have more direct routes to the Elder HWs and allies space anyway and are set up for a flanking attack as it is.
What are your thoughts on this? If we can reach the agreement with the shadow alliance itīd free us to deal with Earth unless they can be turned and the eastern block can grow nicely or start fighting against the elder alliance as well, with the Narn in the lead to take the brunt of the attack...
Drakh, can you please give some input on the situation with Earth as I could provide active aid if I reach an agreement with Shadows and Mars but I donīt really know whatīs going on there and what would be required.
Now, whatīs plan B? What do we do if Shadows and their allies decline the offer?
[Updated on: Sat, 24 March 2007 11:19] Report message to a moderator
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