Home » Stars! 2.6/7 » The Academy » Maximizing Popluation Growth Rate
Re: Maximizing Popluation Growth Rate |
Sat, 18 September 2004 19:55 |
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Joker41NAM wrote on Sat, 18 September 2004 18:54 | OK, that's it.
I've obviously hit a nerve that I wasn't aware existed. I'm now asking for one of 2 things:
1) All I want is the equation for how fast population grows based upon Value, Cap, and how PRT/LRTs influence the before-mentioned equation. I don't care about which you think is better, 25% or 50% or 33%. I just want the equations. If you don't have something to contribute on this SPECIFIC question, either shut up or start your own thread.
2) Should people not be able to follow this, I ask that the moderator either lock or delete this thread, whichever it takes. I have no interest in getting into the debate that has kidnapped this thread.
Now, if people listen to me, there should be maybe one or two posts remaining to this thread. You can have your debate on your own time, and in your own thread.
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Please take your attitude elsewhere. You do not own this thread, or this message board, and nobody has the right to say "Get out of my thread".
era42 wrote | So at 25%, the 332200 people grow by 62800 (19%).
At 34%, first 25% (332200) grow 19%, the remainding 114800 people (447k-332k) grow by 3400 (66200-62800), or by 2.96%. Quite far from 19%...
Dividing those extra 114,8k people (from 25% to 34%) on 3 (to keep them below 25%) 20% worlds will grow 0.2*0.19=3.8%. Minor, but clear improvement even on crappy 20% worlds. Much more noticeable when you shift the extra people to good greens.
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I don't know where you came up with your 2.96% growth for the remaining colonists. What happens at 33% is that the total population grows at (I think) 15% which was mentioned earlier in this thread by Staz, provided race wizard growth rate is 19%.
Downsider wrote | But you will have more factories and mines where you have more pop and, lets face it, factories and resources are paramount, not colonist growth. Otherwise IS would be far more powerful than it is already.
Keeping worlds at 25% is best in terms of maximizing your colonist growth, but it is not practical in real Stars! terms.
If you keep your HW at 25% as soon as it reaches it and I keep mine at 33% likewise, I will have better economy and research than you over in short term and can make that advantage work for me over the long term.
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Re: Maximizing Popluation Growth Rate |
Sat, 18 September 2004 21:10 |
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era42 | | Crewman 3rd Class | Messages: 6
Registered: September 2004 Location: Finland | |
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SnakeChomp wrote on Sun, 19 September 2004 02:55 |
era42 wrote | So at 25%, the 332200 people grow by 62800 (19%).
At 34%, first 25% (332200) grow 19%, the remainding 114800 people (447k-332k) grow by 3400 (66200-62800), or by 2.96%. Quite far from 19%...
Dividing those extra 114,8k people (from 25% to 34%) on 3 (to keep them below 25%) 20% worlds will grow 0.2*0.19=3.8%. Minor, but clear improvement even on crappy 20% worlds. Much more noticeable when you shift the extra people to good greens.
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I don't know where you came up with your 2.96% growth for the remaining colonists. What happens at 33% is that the total population grows at (I think) 15% which was mentioned earlier in this thread by Staz, provided race wizard growth rate is 19%.
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The point is that adding that 114,8k to a planet at 25% capacity (letting it grow) nets, that the said 114,8k grows at rate of ~3%.
Combined growth of the existing 25% (3322k) people and the added 114,8k nets the said 15%, which is the total growth of the 34% planet.
The formula from advanced faq:
http://www.starsfaq.com/advfaq/guts2.htm#4.9
--CLIP--
4.9) GUTS OF POPULATION GROWTH
The pop growth formula has two parts, under 25% and over 25% capacity.
under 25%: popgrowth = population * growthrate * habvalue
over 25%: as above, then multiply by crowdingfactor = 16/9 * (1-cap%)^2.
(This formula was posted by Jason Cawley, who credits it to Bill Butler)
--CLIP--
-Era
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Re: Maximizing Popluation Growth Rate |
Sat, 18 September 2004 21:51 |
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goober | | Chief Warrant Officer 3 | Messages: 175
Registered: December 2003 Location: +10 | |
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A good way to get to grips with pop management is to practice playing a -f race. So start duelling
Formulas aside, the realities of finding planets, shipping pop, having the right tech to do it efficiently, not having enough minerals to build said transporters cannot be ignored.
Personally, I aim to keep breeders at 25% and ship pop to get other breeders going first. Once they are up and running, they fill up nearby poor hab worlds to max as quickly as possible. Once they are full I aim to fill up my big worlds one/two at a time.
Notice the word aim. Quite often my HW suddenly needs filling up as I decide to up production ready for war. Plenty of other factors intervene, location being a prominent consideration - unless you are IT ofc.
Odd as it may seem, it's nice to have some very green, poor mineral planets. There is never any doubt about what to do with them. Just keep them shipping out pop for all they are worth.
To summarise, practise the art of pop management, develop your own heuristic method, bearing in mind those "ideal" %'s. For a -f in a practise situation, a single immunity race with 19% PGR should have about 4.5k res and tech 10/10/7/10/3/3 by 2430 (that was a WM). JoaT's and IT can do better. No doubt if I spent the time maximising every area of my pop-management I could do better, but I'm more interested in playing the game than playing with a calculator.
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Re: Maximizing Popluation Growth Rate |
Sun, 19 September 2004 10:42 |
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Steve1 | | Officer Cadet 2nd Year | Messages: 240
Registered: January 2003 Location: Australia | |
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Quote: | Personally, I aim to keep breeders at 25% and ship pop to get other breeders going first. Once they are up and running, they fill up nearby poor hab worlds to max as quickly as possible. Once they are full I aim to fill up my big worlds one/two at a time.
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Keep in mind that you're not really maxing these low greens, but instead providing max capacity until your next research level into terraforming.
The strategy as described in the quotation marks works well if you've either reached the maximum tech level for your own terraforming ability ([to generalise] level 16 in Weap, Prop and Energy if non-TT) or if borders with all neighbours are well defined and expansion looks unlikely (in that case you're not aggressive enough ). You do also want to acquire smaller green worlds, but maxing them out too early means that not only are those worlds growing zero pop for you, but the pop to max them out could instead have been used on a planet with greater potential for growth.
IMHO, you should wait on maxing out those small greens. You might eventually be able to make them 100% (or close) and they in turn could become breeders or resource contributers for you.
Meanwhile they're building factories/mines and terraforming. They're gradually becoming stronger on their own steam (assuming that you at least gave them a starting chance) and eventually with greater terraform research could become powerhouses in their own right and as a bonus, grew their own small amount of colonists.
Now of course there are always exceptions and I'm not saying that mine is a hard and fast rule, but it's a good general concept to keep in mind (no doubt there will be some who disagree ).
Quote: | With a JOAT and OBRM, 35% is the money spot.
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Quote: | I've tried running some tests, and gotten rough numbers. Thing is, when I've done it, I've actually gotten 2 places that got the same growth rate, but the pop numbers were several thousand apart. I know that I once saw somebody on this forum give the formulae and exact percentages (I think they were 33.49% and 34.99%), but I can't find it again.
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Quote: | You just might want to consider staying at 25%, especially at the start of the game.
33% and thereabouts give the highest popgrowth, 25% gives the highest *percentual*
growthrate (iow, your growthrate in the racedesign wizard).
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Now regarding the general concept of keeping 25% on breeder worlds: I do agree with this in principle and it's far easier to follow it through with a tri-immune race, but under normal circumstances a couple of good worlds (that also happen to be high in minerals), eg. a 85% and 75% world might have a few worlds within the vicinity that are green but could range from only 20% - 40%. In this real game scenario, shipping too many colonists from such good worlds "can be" a waste. To build factories/mines on a planet growing up to 25% capacity takes a good many years. Building those extra installations in making the worlds 35% is comparitively very quick. The "actual" amount of colonists produced on the good worlds is now higher and the resources available are substantially increased.
True, the small worlds would also produce colonists and resources given a chance, but often not enough to make colonising them a priority. It would suck though if you produced lots of excess colonists on these 75% - 85% worlds and then found that neighbours had stolen these smaller greens from under your nose.
The point being that it's a balancing act and every situation is different. Sometimes it's good to follow the 25% max colonists rule to the letter and sometimes it's actually better to go much higher. Depends on so many factors as to what is best that no one can really say unless they look at a specific situation.
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[Updated on: Sun, 19 September 2004 11:00] Report message to a moderator
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Re: Maximizing Popluation Growth Rate |
Sun, 19 September 2004 12:45 |
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Joker41NAM | | Crewman 2nd Class | Messages: 12
Registered: July 2004 Location: Longview, TX | |
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craebild wrote on Sat, 18 September 2004 18:06 | The formula for population growth can be found here: http://www.starsfaq.com/advfaq/guts2.htm#4.9
The influence from PRTs and LRTs is AFAIR:
HE has 50% max. population
JoAT has 120% max. population
OBRM gives +10% max. population after adjustment for PRT.
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Thanks, craebild, era42, and Kotk (modified quote for correction). From the info you gave, I was finally able to track down the post I've been looking for:
http://starsautohost.org/sahforum/index.php?t=msg&th= 1425&rid=572&S=865d375c85712d144f9fd4b6c0acb0c0& pl_view=&start=0#msg_11228
My own experiments have roughly confirmed these numbers, though it can be hard to get everything right when working to a hundredth of a percent
This is my closer for the thread. You can have your argument on your own time.
SnakeChomp wrote on Sat, 18 September 2004 18:55 |
Joker41NAM wrote on Sat, 18 September 2004 18:54 |
OK, that's it.
I've obviously hit a nerve that I wasn't aware existed. I'm now asking for one of 2 things:
1) All I want is the equation for how fast population grows based upon Value, Cap, and how PRT/LRTs influence the before-mentioned equation. I don't care about which you think is better, 25% or 50% or 33%. I just want the equations. If you don't have something to contribute on this SPECIFIC question, either shut up or start your own thread.
2) Should people not be able to follow this, I ask that the moderator either lock or delete this thread, whichever it takes. I have no interest in getting into the debate that has kidnapped this thread.
Now, if people listen to me, there should be maybe one or two posts remaining to this thread. You can have your debate on your own time, and in your own thread.
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Please take your attitude elsewhere. You do not own this thread, or this message board, and nobody has the right to say "Get out of my thread".
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No, I don't. However, where I come from it's considered polite to keep to the topic asked about in a thread. The thread is considered to be owned by the person who created it. I normally only post on a forum that gives the creator control to lock or delete the thread, if it goes too far. If I knew of another Stars forum where this was the case, I'd use it.
So, I've made my last post on this thread, and will not be looking at it any more. If you guys don't have the common courtesy to keep the the requested topic, that's not my problem. Though you won't fine me posting much, either. It's not worth my time to wade through the junk to get at the stuff I want. When I made this, I expected to get maybe 3 responses. In the end, that's about how many were relevant to my question.
Yes, I blew my top a bit in this post and my previous one. No, I'm not going to apologize for it.
[Updated on: Tue, 12 October 2004 22:19] by Moderator
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Re: Maximizing Popluation Growth Rate |
Sun, 19 September 2004 15:39 |
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Carn | | Officer Cadet 4th Year | Messages: 284
Registered: May 2003 | |
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Joker41NAM wrote on Sat, 18 September 2004 05:33 |
OK, that's it.
I've obviously hit a nerve that I wasn't aware existed. I'm now asking for one of 2 things:
1) All I want is the equation for how fast population grows based upon Value, Cap, and how PRT/LRTs influence the before-mentioned equation. I don't care about which you think is better, 25% or 50% or 33%. I just want the equations. If you don't have something to contribute on this SPECIFIC question, either shut up or start your own thread.
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Although you are right Joker, that its better if thread stays by topic and answers any questions the thread starter had, i'm sorry to tell you that part of this confusion was caused by you.
Joker41NAM wrote on Sat, 18 September 2004 05:33 |
If I'm trying to maximize the growth rate of a planet (I'm not interested in maximizing population or resources, just how fast colonists make babies), what is the ideal setting? I know it's somewhere in the vicinity of 33%, but I'm looking for an exact figure. It seems like I once saw that it's about 35%, and a little less if you have the OBRM LRT.
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In custom race wizard one selects the growth rate, the percentage by which pop can grow in optimal condition, so correctly the answer is 25%or lower, as then the growth rate is equal to selected one.
Of course anyone reading should have noticed by the following sentence, that you were asking for the filling percentage, that yields the most number of colonists per year, but still your question was not exactly clear.
And after some people talked about 25%, instead of pointing out that this is not what you want to know, you posted:
Joker41NAM wrote on Sat, 18 September 2004 05:33 |
I never understood the logic of this argument. 25% is a lose-lose situation. You're not growing as fast (who cares about percentages? You're growth rate is slower, even if the percentage is higher) and you can't be producing as much (run less mines and factories).
If I've missed some glaringly obvious answer, please inform me of my ignorance.
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This is directly asking why one should keep world at 25%, so do not be surprised, if you see further posts, discussing/answering your question.
But you are right you hit some nerve, this confusion happened before, it is caused by different assumptions about whether there is another place the pop could also be put too.
Carn
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Re: Maximizing Popluation Growth Rate |
Tue, 21 September 2004 13:36 |
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Quote: |
Keeping worlds at 25% is best in terms of maximizing your colonist growth, but it is not practical in real Stars! terms.
If you keep your HW at 25% as soon as it reaches it and I keep mine at 33% likewise, I will have better economy and research than you over in short term and can make that advantage work for me over the long term.
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Much depends on race design, game, etc. Staying at 33% from the start mean you hit a big lag between HW at 33% and no colonies producing to when the colonies finally kick in and help research+shipbuilding.
Switching from 25% to 33% tends to give huge short ecconomic boost but hurt longer term growth.
To illustrate: In Trans game I was doing everything I could to slow down short term growth from turns 40 to 50. I had a 3i HE all techs expensive and other unusual tweaks race design. #1 was a -f IT, I did NOT want to pass his score and risk him attacking me.
By turn 50 failed to keep growth down enough and passed his score with a resource count of 23K. Since no longer secret that I was a monster, I played my ecconomic gas peddle (going to 33% and higher) and climbed to nearly 60K by 2460. I would have gone beyond 60K if I hadn't thrown all efforts into defense the last year in prep of my diplomacy.
Following a early 33% pattern I would have had maybe 20K by 2450 and 30-40K by 2460 but perhaps better war fleet, techs.
Much depends on game, cost of factories, cost of techs, neighbours, etc.
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Re: Maximizing Popluation Growth Rate |
Fri, 29 October 2004 08:04 |
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Robert | | Lt. Junior Grade | Messages: 393
Registered: November 2002 Location: Dortmund, Germany | |
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What is this about? If you just look at max pop growth the answer is easy and has been given several times...
In practice you have a much more complicated situation and have to take a lot of things into accout
- are you -f or not
- are you IS and how far away is the next green planet
- are there empty greens, how green are they?
- are there yellows to work up
- how far away from war are you and when do you need the peak production
- ...
One thing you can try is to find the Jason Cawley articles in the newsgroup - he did all the math you can imagine. You can also do some extensive tests yourself (like I did - ouch) and come to your own concusion.
I will give mine for an example, and I should mention this is for non-HE, non-IS and non-AR! I usually play HG style and one immune races, so there are nice greens all around early.
What I found is best to max the "resource integral" that means the total resources over time up to a certain point (usually when I plan to start war) - can also be seen as how to get to ARM BBs or something else quickly... whatever - first I defined a goal and then I tried to reach that as quickly as possible.
So - here it is:
Grow on HW up to 25%, with the rest colonize close (means one turn step) greens (means 80%+) worlds (remember - 1in10 race with one immunity!).
Then use autobuild factories and mines until the total amount of factories operated is reached, grow to 33% and build all factories, then colonize all the greens you find.
Distribute pop on all greens to 33%, then colonize "good" yellows, means -5% or less with potential of 80% or better with normal terraforming.
Grow to 50% and build all the factories, then fill up from worst to best planets to 100% in one step and build factories.
This works quite well with a 19% 12/9/16factories 1in10 hab scheme race - in fact I tried a lot of different strategies and this was by far the best.
Maybe with another strategy you have more pop by then, but over that time I had more resources and will probably have more total resources - and so will have better tech and ships at this year.
And thats what matters, not the amount of pop you got...
So the question is:
How do I distribute pop to max RESOURCES OVER TIME, and not how to max pop... And to answer this question is really really difficult as there are so many factors to take into account - anyway - you got one example now that works really well for this given race...
Maybe this is helpful
Robert
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