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Going to the moon Thu, 15 January 2004 11:54 Go to next message
Hatterson is currently offline Hatterson

 
Warrant Officer
Past Weekly Puzzle Master

Messages: 121
Registered: May 2003
Location: NY, USA

Alexdstewart touched on this in the beagle has landed thread, so I though I would make a thread for you guys to talk about what you think of the new plan to not only put man on the moon again but to establish a permanent base there.

In case you don't believe this (as I first did when told about it on IRC) here are two stories from cnn.com:

The first story:
http://www.cnn.com/2004/TECH/space/01/09/bush.space/index.ht ml

The reaction to Bush's plan:
http://www.cnn.com/2004/TECH/space/01/15/bush.space/index.ht ml

Anyway, I think that this is a great idea. Ever since we landed on the moon there has been no real desire to explore. The 'star-trek' future was giving way to a 'let's send a robot to explore' mentality. This is going to get us back in the mindset of curiosity and exploration that got us to where we are today.

I look foward to hearing your thoughts.


[Updated on: Thu, 15 January 2004 11:54]




"Don't be so humble - you are not that great. " - Golda Meir (1898-1978) to a visiting diplomat

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Re: Going to the moon Thu, 15 January 2004 12:03 Go to previous messageGo to next message
overworked is currently offline overworked

 
Lt. Junior Grade

Messages: 403
Registered: November 2002
Location: Pittsburgh, PA

Confused

I support the concept and idea of continued space exploration.

I remain skeptical of the motivations behind the recent announcements. Especially since I doubt they are based on the same principles as mine are for supporting further exploration and research.

- Kurt

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Re: Going to the moon Thu, 15 January 2004 15:14 Go to previous messageGo to next message
Hetzer

 
Chief Warrant Officer 1
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RIP Hetzer, Nov. 28, 2006

Messages: 139
Registered: November 2002
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(costs are from 20 years ago for this)

90,000,000,000 spacefleet, reusable.
4,000,000,000 automated solar cell factory on the moon (some soil samples came back as 80% silicon) cost to ship solar cells
from the moon 1/36 the cost of sending them from the earth.
6,000,000,000 solar power satilite capable of generating 1.5% of the total current electrical consumption of the US. Microwave radiation isn't Ionizing so no damage to ozone layer.
Drawback, adds to global warming.

If we can get to Mars the same tech will get us to the asteroid belt. Some asteroids are 95% nickle iron. One asteroid 1 US mile long and 1/3 of a mile thick equals more metal than we've mined from the planet since day one. Reaction motor drives asteroid to a stable trojan orbit (10 yrs or so). If we hollow the Asteroid out we have a space station capable of holding 250K workers with 4-5 meters of nickle iron to cut down on radiation from solar flares.

With no gravity, cooling metal holds its shape. If you blow bubbles through molten steel when it cools you have a sponge (all arches, natures strongest structure) made out of steel. 1/8th the weight, 30 times the load bearing capability.

Who says there ain't no money to be made from space "exploitation".

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Re: Going to the moon Thu, 15 January 2004 23:53 Go to previous messageGo to next message
alexdstewart is currently offline alexdstewart

 
Chief Warrant Officer 2

Messages: 164
Registered: July 2003
Location: Brisbane, QLD.
Hi
The timetable is too slow IMO. By 2010's oil reserves will pass their peak production, by 2020's oil shortages will make chemical rocket exploration unaffordable by anyone and everyone.

Oil is the basic resource of our civilization, synthetic materials are made largely from oil. Although, we have vast reserves of coal, it is a dirty source. Smog problems can be solved but sulphiric acid problem will be difficult to resolve. IMO we won't be able to use coal for anything but syntheric materials production.

The estimated resource deplition timetables do not fall well with the proposed space exploration program. The peak of this program fall precisely on the peak of increased economic fallout of oil depletion. At that time the US won't be able to afford any chemical rocket space transportation.

There is a way out of this, but it call for radical change to the concept of space travel. You guys whould call for massive reseach in alternative propulsion systems.

The criteria is:
*10$/kg to Low Earth Orbit max
*Totally reusable spacecraft (preferably one stage to orbit- probaly impossible given the present inefficiency of current reactors).
*Mastery of fussion is highly desirable (Uranium supplies are limited and breeder reactors are how shall I say "unstable" and way to bulky to fit on spacecraft.
*Superconductor incorporation in space tech- this is the single most critical component. Without superconductors U can forget about any meaningful space exploration. Superconductors could be used anywhere: radiation protection, reentry shield, weapons, power transmission and generation etc at nauseum.
*Self-replicating intellegent robots - you need a large workforce in "extrimely" hostile enviroment, that only bots can provide.

So what do we have of those? We do already have superconductors and with a strech we can use 'em nicely. Fussion reaction mastery is predicted by 2040, with experimental ready by 2020- way to slow and if you want your kids to have a "bright"
...




In the Future there is only WAR...
Therefore our extinction is assured, it is just a matter of where and when.

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Re: Going to the moon Mon, 19 January 2004 19:46 Go to previous messageGo to next message
gible

 
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Saw this in the local rag. NZ Herald

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Re: Going to the moon Tue, 20 January 2004 00:14 Go to previous messageGo to next message
Coyote is currently offline Coyote

 
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Once Bush realizes there's no oil on the moon it'll probably be abandoned. Hit over head

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Re: Going to the moon Tue, 20 January 2004 02:01 Go to previous messageGo to next message
iztok is currently offline iztok

 
Commander

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Hi!
Coyote wrote on Tue, 20 January 2004 06:14

Once Bush realizes there's no oil on the moon it'll probably be abandoned. Hit over head

IMO the whole program will be abandoned immediately after US presidential elections, no matter who'll win.
BR, Iztok

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Re: Going to the moon Tue, 20 January 2004 19:52 Go to previous messageGo to next message
alexdstewart is currently offline alexdstewart

 
Chief Warrant Officer 2

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I once heard a strange theory some time ago- that oil is a fairly fast renewable resource. Confused Apparently old oil drill accomulate oil in them after they are depleted. I might think that this accomulation is due to oil coming out of rock pores than that "regeneration" but then, who knows...

I've heard yet another strange proclamation by someone apparently well respected in oil extraction industry- they claimed that oil reserves will totally run out by 2020. I am a bit sceptical about that Rolling Eyes

But there is one thing for sure- oil companies consistently overestimate oil reserves. Independent assesment gives much more pessimistic predictions- I used independents' data to give my oil depletion schedule. And to avoid being overly pessimistic, I pushed the date back a bit.

In actual reality the report I've read states that we've already passed the GLOBAL peak oil production somewhere in 2003... (the report was compiled in 2002)



In the Future there is only WAR...
Therefore our extinction is assured, it is just a matter of where and when.

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Re: Going to the moon Wed, 21 January 2004 01:52 Go to previous messageGo to next message
Coyote is currently offline Coyote

 
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we'll never actually run out - the laws of supply and demand will make the price increase as supplies decrease, until we reach the point that it's more economical to make oil out of the weeds in our lawn than to drill for it - or better, just use closed-cycle fuel cells powered by your friendly neighborhood nuke plant. Sun is out

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Re: Going to the moon Wed, 21 January 2004 18:54 Go to previous messageGo to next message
alexdstewart is currently offline alexdstewart

 
Chief Warrant Officer 2

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Laughing Laughing Laughing
Reminds me of one sad fact. For all of you's opposed to nuke plants. You see Uranium is everywhere- in the soil in the rocks in the water, air- everywhere. So when coal/oil powerplants burn their fuel, all that residual Uranium is released into the atmosphere Shocked . So there was this guy that calculated that conventional powerplant releases about the same amount of Uranium into the atmostphere as a nuke plant of the same size consumes. Must I remind you that radioactive waste is then stored, not disperced into the atmosphere? (Well, usually it is- If Italians get their hads on it, they'll just dump it in the Mediterranian)

But really there ain't enough Uranium deposits around to satisfy our needs. There is enough fuel for conventional nukes for less than 10 years for a whole world. Breeder reactors can use that supply for hundreds of years but they are... unstable. Evil or Very Mad
Besides, if you start to build breeder reactors, US and Co will just brand you as an "axis of evil" and bomb you to Stone Age. Rolling Eyes



In the Future there is only WAR...
Therefore our extinction is assured, it is just a matter of where and when.

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Re: Going to the moon Sun, 01 February 2004 10:13 Go to previous messageGo to next message
Hatterson is currently offline Hatterson

 
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alexdstewart wrote on Wed, 21 January 2004 18:54

For all of you's opposed to nuke plants. You see Uranium is everywhere- in the soil in the rocks in the water, air- everywhere. So when coal/oil powerplants burn their fuel, all that residual Uranium is released into the atmosphere Shocked .


I don't believe that is the main reason why most people who are opposed to nuclear plants don't like them. I believe that they are afraid of a meltdown. They saw what happened in chernoybl and are paranoid. I think if there was more advertising about the safety of nuclear plants, and the true rarity of a meltdown, people would be a lot more accepting of them.



"Don't be so humble - you are not that great. " - Golda Meir (1898-1978) to a visiting diplomat

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Re: Going to the moon Sun, 01 February 2004 17:00 Go to previous messageGo to next message
Staz is currently offline Staz

 
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I'm not sure (fission) neclear power is the answer to fossil fuel shortages. The JET fusion power plant is already a net power producer, although low efficency means that the facility as a whole is still a net power consumer I believe.

Plans for the next generation (ITER) are well underway and that facility will be a net power producer. After that is a prototype power station which will generate real commercial electricity.

And all of these basically use lakewater as fuel.

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Re: Going to the moon Sat, 17 April 2004 12:07 Go to previous messageGo to next message
multilis is currently offline multilis

 
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Messages: 789
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I think this "energy shortage without oil" thing is a beast of our own making.

With residential electrical needs it is fairly easy to reduce our needs by up to 75% and still be comfortable.

For transportation, veg oil can be made to work in a diesel, just preheat it with a webasto heater or other similar device for a few minutes before you start your car (after which engine heat will do).

Combine that with drastically reducing fuel needs. We currently have an average of around 1.5 people per vehicle on the road and drive fuel wasters. Increase things like car pooling, fuel efficent engines, and increased bicycle usage for short trips and other changes and you may reduce residential fuel needs by 75%.

Reduce travel including by airplane, including using video conferencing and remote control improvements of modern tech, etc and you may reduce consumption some more.

As well, having a more decentralised civilization may improve resistance to things like terrorists and disease outbreaks.

...

For the moon or anywheres else, having the abillity to create a nearly self-sufficiant tiny eccosystem would be most useful. IMO learn to build something on earth that can mostly take care of itself such as a habitat under water or in the artic is easier than going to the moon and more long term useful for outer space.

If you can construct a cost effective nearly self-enclosed system, you can have people stay in space nearly forever rather than the huge expense of shipping stuff up constantly. Supply lines are the biggest limitations to long trips like to Mars.


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icon5.gif  Re: Going to the moon Mon, 03 May 2004 00:46 Go to previous messageGo to next message
Hyena is currently offline Hyena

 
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Off-topic...
Okay, I know that by "establishing a base on the moon" he's not suggesting that private citizens would be living there, but it only makes me think.
I've always sort of toyed with the thought of living on the moon in some way.

I'm not the travelling type, I usually prefer to stay put and have heavily resisted every decision to move all my life. However, if my family could live on the moon, I would probably jump at the chance. Sure, the idea is probably so beyond what is currently possible that it's barely worth considering, and there would have to be some sort of solution to all sorts of issues from oxygen and food to electricity, but I can dream, can't I?

The way I see it:
Pros:
1. Low gravity Very Happy. I would love it for so many different reasons.
2. No annoying insects or dangerous animals.
Cons:
1. Everything would be expensive.
2. Unless something extremely elaborate is put in place, a few mistakes or purposeful sabotage could easily be dangerous for many people. (Assuming we live in airtight domes and not magically create air out on the moon's surface)

A few things bother me though.
Does anyone know what sort of weather the moon has? Are there commonly earthquakes or anything like that?
Is there much harmful radiation?
Exactly how cold does it get? (Obviously the domes would have some form of heating, but how difficult would it be to keep it running?)

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Re: Going to the moon Mon, 03 May 2004 06:40 Go to previous messageGo to next message
Carn is currently offline Carn

 
Officer Cadet 4th Year

Messages: 284
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Hyena wrote on Mon, 03 May 2004 06:46



A few things bother me though.
1.Does anyone know what sort of weather the moon has?
2.Are there commonly earthquakes or anything like that?
3.Is there much harmful radiation?
4.Exactly how cold does it get? (Obviously the domes would have some form of heating, but how difficult would it be to keep it running?)


1.Moon has no atmosphere, so no weather.
2.Moon is (nearly?) rock solid, no tectonic activity, therefore no volcanoes and earthquakes. But because of no atmosphere even small meteorites hit ground, though i think i remember, that the side of moon facing earth gets only few hits.
3. The two main natural radiation sources on earth are from material that earth is composed of(Uran,...) and cosmic rays. I don't know if material moon is made of is less or more radioactive, but from comic rays main protections are magnetic field(i think caused by liquid material in 1000+ miles beneath surface) and atmosphere(less important). As moon has no atmosphere and no magnetic field radiation is a lot stronger, but might be still dependent on which side of the moon you are, since side facing earth is protected in one direction by earth and in other direction by rest of moon.(In 50s there was even fear that travelling to moon is impossible due to lack of protection from magnetic field)
4. As one moon "day" last a month, so between sunup and sundown there are around 15 days, temperature differences are high. I think on day its up to 200 degree Celsius and on night its down to -150 degree Celsius. This is not so much a problem of heating , more of cooling(which is more difficult, you can't just open windows), but far greater problem is that heating expands and cooling compresses matter. This size changes are very small on earth due to temperatures changing between -50 and +70 at most, so they have little effect, but for a permanent station on moon this might cause more problems, because at sunrise or sundown the temperature changes very quickly(few hours at most). I
...

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Re: Going to the moon Mon, 03 May 2004 12:12 Go to previous messageGo to next message
craebild is currently offline craebild

 
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Messages: 568
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From memory, the answer to the radiation question is:

On the moon, the most important radiation source is the sun. During normal conditions, an EVA suit offers sufficient protection to cut the level of exposure to (or below Cool ) the ambient level on earth.

A solar flare causes a serious increase in radiation levels. When the radiation wave from a solar flare hits, an EVA suit does not offer sufficient protection to cut the exposure to acceptable levels. A habitat structure that is built to handle pressurization and micrometeorites should also offer sufficient protection to cut the level of exposure to (or below) the ambient level on earth, if sensibly designed. The cost of the structure does not increase perceptibly when including that level of radiation protection, except for some special cases, where the materials selected are expensive.



Med venlig hilsen / Best regards / Mit freundlichen Grüßen
Christian Ræbild / Christian Raebild

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icon5.gif  Re: Going to the moon Mon, 03 May 2004 16:39 Go to previous messageGo to next message
Hyena is currently offline Hyena

 
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Carn wrote on Mon, 03 May 2004 06:40

I think for a long time it will be far cheaper to have a private island, servants and jet+helicopter than living on moon, so i prefer dreaming of that. Cool Cool


Well, obviously they wouldn't consider it until it's possible to move a lot of people at a time. I'm thinking something along the lines of a large city under one or more big domes. I think when that happens, it wouldn't be more expensive than a private island, as you can't have a large city full of billionaires. Maybe my logic in that is backwards, but they wouldn't go to the bother of sending people to live on the moon unless they could get a lot of them. You'd need thousands of to make the trip worth it at least cost-wise. There has to be some sort of point to living on the moon besides the novelty. Maybe some day I'll figure that out.

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Re: Going to the moon Mon, 03 May 2004 16:55 Go to previous messageGo to next message
Kotk

 
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Messages: 1227
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Most people would prefer a year in a jail to year on a moon. Of course ... if you have lot of money and curiosity what happens to people at moon after a while then you have pay well to few stupid heroic masohhists and send them temporarily there.

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icon5.gif  Re: Going to the moon Tue, 04 May 2004 01:44 Go to previous messageGo to next message
Hyena is currently offline Hyena

 
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Kotk wrote on Mon, 03 May 2004 16:55

Most people would prefer a year in a jail to year on a moon.


I don't see why. I find Earth's gravity rather annoying and that alone would be enough motivation for me to stay on the moon for quite a long time. And it'd be one place where I know I wouldn't have to worry about mosquitoes (I hate those things like no other creature.)

Okay, I'm rehashing my earlier argument, but man am I getting sick of all this gravity. Razz

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Re: Going to the moon Tue, 04 May 2004 02:50 Go to previous messageGo to next message
Dogthinkers is currently offline Dogthinkers

 
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Hyena wrote on Tue, 04 May 2004 15:44

And it'd be one place where I know I wouldn't have to worry about mosquitoes (I hate those things like no other creature.)


Laughing Don't be so sure... If we started taking 000's of people up then I'd bet we'd end up bringing a couple of pests/parasites by accident sooner or later. Confused

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Re: Going to the moon Tue, 04 May 2004 13:35 Go to previous messageGo to next message
EDog is currently offline EDog

 
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Hyena wrote on Mon, 03 May 2004 23:44

Kotk wrote on Mon, 03 May 2004 16:55

Most people would prefer a year in a jail to year on a moon.


I don't see why. I find Earth's gravity rather annoying and that alone would be enough motivation for me to stay on the moon for quite a long time. And it'd be one place where I know I wouldn't have to worry about mosquitoes (I hate those things like no other creature.)

Okay, I'm rehashing my earlier argument, but man am I getting sick of all this gravity. Razz


"There is no gravity. The earth just sucks."

(I don't really believe that. Earth doesn't suck. People do.)

((I don't actually believe people suck either. Only mean people suck.))

(((Actually, most mean people don't suck either. At least, not without cash in hand.)))*

Philosophical EDog
*Somebody ought to report me to a moderator for that one...



http://ianthealy.com
Born, grew up, became an adventurer

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icon5.gif  Re: Going to the moon Tue, 04 May 2004 13:55 Go to previous messageGo to next message
Hyena is currently offline Hyena

 
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Dogthinkers wrote on Tue, 04 May 2004 02:50


Laughing Don't be so sure... If we started taking 000's of people up then I'd bet we'd end up bringing a couple of pests/parasites by accident sooner or later. Confused


Sure, there'd be a few of them. They'd be much easier to control though.

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Re: Going to the moon Tue, 04 May 2004 15:00 Go to previous messageGo to next message
Crusader is currently offline Crusader

 
Officer Cadet 2nd Year

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EDog wrote on Tue, 04 May 2004 12:35


Philosophical EDog
*Somebody ought to report me to a moderator for that one...

I would, but I just ate a giant Burrito that did NOT suck, had my 20 minute walk around the park, and am now sitting at my desk listening to the world crash around me because of the Sasser worm.

People may not suck, but they won't win any prizes for lighting up a dark room neither. (i.e.-they ain't none too bright.)

Angel



Nothing for now.

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Re: Going to the moon Tue, 04 May 2004 17:10 Go to previous messageGo to next message
mazda is currently offline mazda

 
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Quote:

title=Dogthinkers wrote on Tue, 04 May 2004 07:50:lol: Don't be so sure... If we started taking 000's of people up then I'd bet we'd end up bringing a couple of pests/parasites by accident sooner or later. Confused

Proabably a few unwanted insects and bugs as well.


[Updated on: Tue, 04 May 2004 17:10]

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Re: Going to the moon Thu, 06 May 2004 00:53 Go to previous messageGo to previous message
Ron is currently offline Ron

 
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Crusader wrote on Tue, 04 May 2004 15:00


People may not suck, but they won't win any prizes for lighting up a dark room neither. (i.e.-they ain't none too bright.)

Angel

That's because the light bulbs are dark suckers! Rolling Eyes



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