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Odds on Last Movement Thu, 07 May 2009 16:26 Go to previous message
DenHam is currently offline DenHam

 
Chief Petty Officer

Messages: 70
Registered: January 2006
Location: New York

Has anyone done any statistical analysis to determine what the odds are on having last movement when there is less than 20% difference in mass?

The Stars engine is supposed to make up to a 15% random adjustment in mass to allow near equal weight ships an equal chance. I expected to see a small advantage in say a 10% lighter ship but I couldn't pick it up in a quick simulation. If the 15% random function was a binomial or bell curve, there should be a significant difference. Even if it is a coin toss, I would expect a bigger difference on a weight reduction.

Has anyone done any analysis on this? I am curious to figure out at what point the mass makes a difference on the probability of who moves last.



The Universe is usually not fair.
That would be too easy.

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