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Re: Is minefield hit % based on number of ships?

Mon, 01 August 2005 15:47

Kotk

Commander

Messages: 1227
Registered: May 2003

dreadlordnaf wrote on Mon, 01 August 2005 12:01

Can you explain this more.

Lets see:
(1 - prob_of_hit_per_LY) ^ distance_traveled

Percentages are thinked out by evil mathematicians to make their wizardry more complex to understand by others. When mathematician say "1%" he actually means "0.01". So forget that "prob_of_hit_per_LY" is 1.2% it is just 0.012 there. Wink

"Probability of something happening" has always his evil antipode around "probability of that same thing not happening". Their sum is always 1. So if someone substracts some probability from 1 then he finds thats probabilities antipode. So what Iztok did there saying (1 - prob_of_hit_per_LY) ... he just found prob_of__NO_hit_per_LY (or 0.988 or 98.8%).

That is correct since we do search probability to travel all the way without hitting once. The probability to travel first lightyear is 0.988. The probability to travel two lightyears is tried only if we traveled first ly so 0.988*0.988. The probability_to_travel_distance_traveled is prob_of__NO_hit_per_LY ^ distance_traveled.

What Iztok didnt do was substracting gained probability_to_travel_distance_traveled (0.655) from 1 to get probability_to_be_stopped_during_distance_traveled that is 0.345 or 34.5% Wink

For any further explanations consult your mathematic teacher. Its his job after all. Laughing

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[Message index]

		Is minefield hit % based on number of ships? By: dreadlordnaf on Tue, 26 July 2005 05:03
		Re: Is minefield hit % based on number of ships? By: PricklyPea on Tue, 26 July 2005 05:14
		Re: Is minefield hit % based on number of ships? By: dreadlordnaf on Tue, 26 July 2005 06:18
		Re: Is minefield hit % based on number of ships? By: mazda on Tue, 26 July 2005 05:15
		Re: Is minefield hit % based on number of ships? By: Micha on Tue, 26 July 2005 06:20
		Re: Is minefield hit % based on number of ships? By: Micha on Tue, 26 July 2005 06:24
		Re: Is minefield hit % based on number of ships? By: LEit on Tue, 26 July 2005 11:17
		Re: Is minefield hit % based on number of ships? By: iztok on Wed, 27 July 2005 14:33
		Re: Is minefield hit % based on number of ships? By: crr65536 on Wed, 27 July 2005 15:11
		Re: Is minefield hit % based on number of ships? By: LEit on Wed, 27 July 2005 16:06
		Re: Is minefield hit % based on number of ships? By: Kotk on Wed, 27 July 2005 17:26
		Re: Is minefield hit % based on number of ships? By: crr65536 on Wed, 27 July 2005 22:44
		Re: Is minefield hit % based on number of ships? By: mazda on Thu, 28 July 2005 03:32
		Re: Is minefield hit % based on number of ships? By: Kotk on Thu, 28 July 2005 15:08
		Re: Is minefield hit % based on number of ships? By: crr65536 on Thu, 28 July 2005 15:41
		Re: Is minefield hit % based on number of ships? By: Kotk on Thu, 28 July 2005 17:17
		Re: Is minefield hit % based on number of ships? By: dreadlordnaf on Mon, 01 August 2005 05:01
		Re: Is minefield hit % based on number of ships? By: gible on Mon, 01 August 2005 06:50
		Re: Is minefield hit % based on number of ships? By: dreadlordnaf on Tue, 02 August 2005 03:40
		Re: Is minefield hit % based on number of ships? By: Kotk on Mon, 01 August 2005 15:47
		Re: Is minefield hit % based on number of ships? By: iztok on Mon, 01 August 2005 17:49

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