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Re: Damage calculations

Tue, 16 November 2004 05:57

mazda

Lieutenant

Messages: 655
Registered: April 2003
Location: Reading, UK

You can accurately predict the chances of each outcome, if that's what you mean.

As an example, say you had a battle between 2 scouts each with a jihad missile.
Now either 0 or 1 missiles will hit each time a salvo is fired.
So the result comes down to the first side to hit, not the first side to fire. First side to fire has a slightly better chance to hit first, but not much (5:4).
If you had 10 scouts each side then *in theory* you could get from 0 to 10 missiles hit. What is likely to happen though is that you will get 1 - 4 missiles hit, most of the time.
If 2 or more hit then the side to fire first will win. However there is still a 1 in 10 chance of all missiles missing (nevermind the complicated case where only 1 hits).
So first side to fire has a much better chance of winning this time (at least 3:1).
With 100 scouts each side then you will get 15 - 25 hit, which will always kill the opposing side. i.e. first side to fire will "nearly always" win.

See the effect ? How numbers of ships/missiles changes the likely result ?

On another topic I've had battles with low power beam ships where one stack taking a slightly different route on the board meant the difference between a good win, and a heavy defeat.

Post the ship details here, if you like, along with what you expected to happen.

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[Message index]

		Damage calculations By: Staz on Mon, 15 November 2004 17:42
		Re: Damage calculations By: mazda on Tue, 16 November 2004 05:57
		Re: Damage calculations By: Staz on Tue, 16 November 2004 07:07
		Re: Damage calculations By: mazda on Tue, 16 November 2004 09:03
		Re: Damage calculations By: Staz on Tue, 16 November 2004 10:50
		Re: Damage calculations By: Kotk on Tue, 16 November 2004 11:23
		Re: Damage calculations By: overworked on Tue, 16 November 2004 11:25
		Re: Damage calculations By: Ptolemy on Tue, 16 November 2004 11:56
		Re: Damage calculations By: Kotk on Tue, 16 November 2004 07:37
		Re: Damage calculations By: Staz on Tue, 16 November 2004 14:03
		Re: Damage calculations By: SnakeChomp on Tue, 16 November 2004 21:23
		Re: Damage calculations By: Carn on Wed, 17 November 2004 03:14
		Re: Damage calculations By: mazda on Wed, 17 November 2004 05:25
		Re: Damage calculations By: Kotk on Wed, 17 November 2004 12:56
		Re: Damage calculations By: Staz on Wed, 17 November 2004 14:12
		Re: Damage calculations By: Ptolemy on Thu, 18 November 2004 03:17
		Re: Damage calculations By: LEit on Thu, 18 November 2004 10:00
		Re: Damage calculations By: Kotk on Thu, 18 November 2004 07:32
		Re: Damage calculations By: Staz on Thu, 18 November 2004 09:01
		Re: Damage calculations By: Ptolemy on Thu, 18 November 2004 09:13
		Re: Damage calculations By: Staz on Thu, 18 November 2004 09:20
		Re: Damage calculations By: Staz on Sun, 21 November 2004 13:50
		Re: Damage calculations By: Ptolemy on Sun, 21 November 2004 14:25
		Re: Damage calculations By: Staz on Sun, 21 November 2004 18:17
		Re: Damage calculations By: LEit on Sun, 21 November 2004 23:13
		Re: Damage calculations By: mazda on Mon, 22 November 2004 05:34
		Re: Damage calculations By: Staz on Mon, 22 November 2004 05:47
		Re: Damage calculations By: Staz on Mon, 22 November 2004 05:59
		Re: Damage calculations By: mazda on Mon, 22 November 2004 07:07
		Re: Damage calculations By: Staz on Mon, 22 November 2004 07:12
		Re: Damage calculations By: Staz on Mon, 22 November 2004 06:23
		Re: Damage calculations By: Kotk on Mon, 22 November 2004 09:57
		Re: Damage calculations By: Staz on Mon, 22 November 2004 10:13
		Re: Damage calculations By: mazda on Mon, 22 November 2004 10:30
		Re: Damage calculations By: Staz on Mon, 22 November 2004 12:31
		Re: Damage calculations By: mazda on Mon, 22 November 2004 14:22
		Re: Damage calculations By: Staz on Mon, 22 November 2004 14:44
		Re: Damage calculations By: mazda on Mon, 22 November 2004 15:18
		Re: Damage calculations By: Kotk on Mon, 22 November 2004 18:14
		Re: Damage calculations By: Kotk on Mon, 22 November 2004 18:59
		Re: Damage calculations By: Kotk on Mon, 22 November 2004 21:06
		Re: Damage calculations By: Ptolemy on Tue, 23 November 2004 05:05
		Re: Damage calculations By: Staz on Tue, 23 November 2004 05:42
		Re: Damage calculations By: Kotk on Tue, 23 November 2004 10:14
		Re: Damage calculations By: Ptolemy on Tue, 23 November 2004 10:30
		Re: Damage calculations By: Staz on Tue, 23 November 2004 13:18
		Re: Damage calculations By: Kotk on Wed, 24 November 2004 07:46
		Re: Damage calculations By: Kotk on Wed, 24 November 2004 10:46
		Re: Damage calculations By: Staz on Wed, 24 November 2004 11:34
		Re: Damage calculations By: Kotk on Wed, 24 November 2004 14:11
		Re: Damage calculations By: mazda on Tue, 23 November 2004 05:32
		Re: Damage calculations By: mazda on Wed, 24 November 2004 03:51
		Re: Damage calculations By: mazda on Mon, 22 November 2004 05:20
		Re: Damage calculations By: mazda on Mon, 22 November 2004 05:23
		Re: Damage calculations By: mazda on Thu, 18 November 2004 10:08
		Re: Damage calculations By: Kotk on Thu, 18 November 2004 14:11
		Re: Damage calculations By: SnakeChomp on Thu, 18 November 2004 22:01

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